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哈尔滨不孕不育病哪家医院好快问大全哈尔滨医院阴道炎

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平房区妇女医院看男科哈尔滨市妇产医院专家哈尔滨哪家看不孕不育的医院好 One winter morning, an employee explained why he had shown up for work 45 minutes late.一个冬天的早晨,一名雇员解释他为什么迟到了四十五分钟才起来上班。 ;It was so slippery out that for every step I took ahead, I slipped back two.;The boss eyed him suspiciously. ;Oh, yeah? Then how did you ever get here?;;I finally gave up,; he said, ;and started for home.;“外面太滑了,我每向前迈一步,就要向后退两步。”老板狐疑地看着他,“噢,是吗?那你是怎样到这里来的?”“后来我决定放弃,”他说,“然后我就往家里走。” /201304/235968哈尔滨看妇科到哪个好

哈尔滨第八医院电话预约阿城区妇幼保健医院专家预约 Doctor Jude Oben had grim news for a patient last week. The liver expert told the 60-year-old man that he had cirrhosis – for the second time in his life.裘德·奥本医生是一位肝脏病专家,上周他带给一位60岁的病人一个坏消息——他又一次患上了肝硬化。这已经是这位病人第二次得这种疾病了。Only four years ago Oben#39;s patient had required a liver transplant after his first bout of cirrhosis, a condition he had contracted because he was obese. ;Unfortunately my patient continued to overeat and remained obese,; said Oben, a hepatologist based at the Royal Free and St Thomas#39; hospitals in London. ;As a result, he contracted cirrhosis again. Sadly, I had to tell him that this time it was very unlikely he would be given another liver.;四年前他为这位患者进行了肝移植手术,那是这位患者首次因肥胖患肝硬化。“不幸的是,我的这位病人继续暴饮暴食并保持肥胖状态,”在英国皇家自由医院和圣托马斯医院工作的肝脏病专家奥本说道。“因此,他再一次感染肝硬化疾病。不幸的是,我只能告诉他这一次他可能不会再得到另一个肝脏了。”Oben#39;s patient is one of a ;tidal wave; of cases of cirrhosis, triggered by obesity, that threatens to sweep through hospitals across the UK. ;People might be aware that there are metabolic disorders such as diabetes and high blood pressure associated with obesity, but very few know about the connection with cirrhosis. However, there is a very clear link. Obesity can trigger cirrhosis.;这并不是个例,肥胖引发的肝硬化正威胁着整个英国。奥本解释说,人们都知道肥胖症者的高血压和糖尿病发病率高,并因此导致新陈代谢紊乱。但是,人们从来不会把肝硬化和肥胖联系起来,而事实是,肥胖会导致肝硬化。Oben, who recently launched the charity Obesity Action Campaign to help in the battle against the sp of the condition, said that 10 years ago he saw only an occasional case of obesity-related cirrhosis in his clinic. Today he has dozens of cases of the illness, which occurs when irreversible scarring causes a person#39;s liver to deteriorate. In the past, excess alcohol consumption and hepatitis infections have been the main causes of cirrhosis in Britain. Now a third cause – obesity – has triggered a major increase in cases of liver disease in the UK.奥本最近发起了一项名为“肥胖行动”的慈善活动,旨在抑制肝硬化疾病的传播。他说,十年前在他的诊所里,因为肥胖导致的肝硬化患者寥寥无几,现在情况却愈演愈烈,因为在病人肝脏的不可逆疤痕会导致其状况恶化。过去在英国,酗酒和肝炎是肝硬化的主要病因,如今,肥胖已经取代酗酒和肝炎,一跃成为英国肝脏疾病多发的主要原因。The average age of death from liver disease is 59, compared with 82-84 for heart and lung disease and strokes, for example. It is the fifth largest cause of death in the UK, and in the past 10 years there has been a fivefold increase in cirrhosis for those aged between 35 and 55. Oben predicts that these figures are only going to get worse as obesity levels rise.肝病患者平均寿命为59岁,而心肺疾病、中风以及肺部疾病患者平均寿命在82岁到84岁之间。肝病已成为英国第五大杀手。和十年前相比,35岁至55岁年龄段的肝硬化患者数量翻了5番。奥本预测随着肥胖者数量的增加,情况只会愈演愈烈。;About a third of the UK population is now obese, while one government estimate recently suggested that this figure will rise to 50% by 2050,; said Oben. ;Frankly, I think we will have reached that level long before then, and when we do that we will find that cirrhosis case numbers have increased steeply.;“现在肥胖者约占英国总人口的三分之一,最近政府预计,到2050年这项数据将上升到50%。但说实话,我个人认为肥胖率上涨到50%根本不需要那么长的时间,并且到时候肝硬化患者骤增也势在必然。”Nor will cirrhosis cases be the only ones to follow in the wake of Britain#39;s increasing obesity levels. Cancers of the oesophagus, liver, pancreas and colon are linked to obesity; cases of these are increasing and are expected to continue to rise.肥胖程度的增加不仅会导致肝硬化。食道癌、胰脏癌、结肠癌患者也会增加,且预计将一直上涨。;Frankly, we are reaching US levels of obesity,; said Oben. ;I went to work in the US in 2001 and was stunned by the numbers of obese people that came into clinics. When I came back to Britain a few years later, I discovered – to my horror – that we are catching up.;“坦白的说,我们国家的肥胖水平已经可以与美国相较。2001年我到美国工作,来诊所的大量肥胖患者让我目瞪口呆。几年后当我回到英国,发现我们国家的肥胖者数量就要赶上美国时,我又一次被吓呆了。”As to the causes of this expected tidal wave of obesity-linked illness, scientists point to the increasing abundance of calorie-dense foods and a decrease in numbers of people taking regular exercise. In addition, Oben#39;s own research has indicated that obese mothers may pass on a propensity for their offspring to become obese.科学家表示肥胖的原因有很多,高热量的食物的摄入以及运动量的减少都与此相关。另外,奥本的研究表明,通常肥胖的妈妈也会对孩子产生影响。;It is another worrying factor,; he said. ;Obesity is a very difficult condition to treat medically.;“这是又一个令人担心的因素,”他说。“医学治疗对肥胖也束手无策。” /201312/270091哈尔滨维多利亚医院地址在哪

哈尔滨哪的妇科好You might expect that being A chef puts you at the highest risk of putting on weight, but you’d be wrong.你可能认为当厨师会让你的体重处于最高风险,但是你错了。New research has found that working as a teach or as an engineer puts you at greater risk of being overweight. The poll also found that being a factory worker or a scientist made you less likely to be obese.最新研究表示,教育工作者和工程师是最有超重风险的两类人。工厂的工人或者科学家不太有可能变胖。The poll found that those who had put on weight had done so because of they were exposed to high levels of stress and spent long hours behind a desk.调查发现,变重的人是因为他们在高压下工作,并且长期坐在办公桌边。They also cited ily available junk food as a reason for their unhealthy eating habits and a main cause for their expanding waistline.研究人员还举了现成的垃圾食品的例子,是这样的饮食习惯造成了他们的腰围不断扩大。The survey also found that employees found controlling portions and counting calories especially challenging while at work. More than half of employees admitted to going out to eat at least once a week, and a quarter ate out three or more times a week. Just under 10 per cent reported eating lunch out of the vending machine at least once a week, while 70 per cent of workers said they snacked during the day.调查发现,员工在工作时要做到控制体重和计算卡路里格外困难。超过半数的员工承认他们每周至少在外面吃一次,而四分之一的人每周会在外面吃至少三次。10%不到一点的人每周会从自动贩卖机购买午餐;同时有70%的人说他们每天都要吃零食。Despite more than half of all workers feeling overweight, nearly 6 of 10 employees said they work out on a regular basis. Just under 50 per cent percent went to the gym at least three times a week. Around 30 per cent said they did exercise, but not regularly, and 11 per cent didn#39;t exercise at all.尽管一半以上的人觉得自己体重超重,但60%的员工表示会定期去运动。有一半的人每周至少去健身房3次。约三成的人说他们会锻炼,但是不规律,而11%的人从不锻炼。 /201310/262828 MESOPOTAMIA, the ancient name for Iraq, means “land between the rivers”. Today, though, the lines which divide the country, not those which circumscribe it, matter most. In the north and south people are emerging from the deepest of traumas into a world of possibilities. The virtually independent Kurdish region and the oil-rich Shia provinces aly enjoy peace and a fair, or rising, degree of prosperity. Between them, though, the heart of the country is trapped in ethnic and sectarian strife, vicious political factionalism and foreign meddling. Iraq’s prime minister, Nuri al-Maliki, behaves like a mafia don; his bickering rivals look little better.美索不达米亚,伊拉克古时称谓,意谓“两河之间的土地”。可如今,分割伊拉克的线条,而非环绕限定伊拉克的条框,更重要,在北部和南部,人们已远离伤痛,奔向无限可能的世界。事实上已经独立的库尔德地区以及石油丰富的什叶派省份也已尽享和平以及不错的繁荣,而且还在不断走向繁荣。不过,在他们中间,该国的中心地区却饱受民族、宗教冲突,党派纷争以及外国势力干涉。伊拉克总理努里·卡迈勒·马利基表现得如同黑手党头目,其斗争对手也好不了多少。Ten years after the invasion grandly called Operation Iraqi Freedom, and barely 15 months after the last American troops left, the signs of their arrival and passing are scant. Aside from the giant new American embassy in the capital, Baghdad, the monuments of triumph are concrete barriers and checkpoints, fleets of discarded gas guzzlers and the jarring sight of Iraqi soldiers decked out like GIs with sunglasses over their eyes, night-vision gear strapped to their helmets, laser torches and M4 rifles by their sides. Less tangible but more pervasive are the dashed hopes and unfulfilled promises. “They spent a trillion dollars and didn’t leave us a single building,” sniffs an Iraqi politician who once cheered America’s presence.被冠以“伊拉克自由行动”的入侵已过10年,距最后一批美军离开伊拉克也刚过去15个月了,而美军到来与离去标记也明显不足。除了位于首都巴格达新建的巨型美国大使馆,美军胜利所留下的也多见于混凝土障碍、检查站,成堆废弃的燃油机动车,以及那些刺眼的伊拉克士兵,装扮的如同美国大兵,佩戴着太阳镜,头盔上系着夜视装备,身旁还配着激光电筒及M4步。而相比这些有形的,更多的是破灭的希望和不能兑现的承诺。一位曾欢呼美军入侵的伊拉克政客讽刺道:“他们花费了万亿美元却连一栋建筑都没留给我们。”That is a bit harsh. Even Iraqis with bitter memories of the invasion and occupation, the death toll from which has never been definitively established, accept that without foreign armies they could never have toppled Saddam Hussein, the tyrant who dragged the country from calamity to disaster over the three decades to 2003. “They lifted the lid on the tomb we lived in,” says Sarmand al-Taie, a newspaper columnist. “It’s not their fault we haven’t completely climbed out.” The Americans made terrible mistakes, yes, but so have we, is a common refrain.听起来可能有些刺耳。事实上,虽然伊拉克民众回忆起美军的入侵与占领还是怨恨不已,对因此而造成的死亡人数至今没有正式公布而满腹牢骚,不过他们也承认如果没有外国军事力量,他们也不可能推翻萨达姆·侯赛因--在2003年之前的30年这位暴君一步步将伊拉克由不幸拖入到无底深渊。新闻专栏记者 Sarmand al-Taie说,“我们生活在坟墓之中,美军移除了坟墓顶盖。虽然我们没有完全从中爬出来,可这不是美军的错。”美军犯了严重的错误,的确,不过我们也一样, 如此反反复复。The cities, not long after城市,不久以后Baghdad, where just under a fifth of Iraq’s 33m people now live, remains a maze of compounds and security cordons. On a recent Friday, getting from the city’s old bazaar to Firdos Square, just three kilometres (two miles) away, required a 21km detour. Iraqis endure endless checkpoint queues in return for a lower chance of being caught in a blast or shoot-out. The frequency of attacks has fallen drastically since the sectarian bloodletting of 2006-07, and seven of Iraq’s 18 provinces have murder rates lower than Canada’s. But in Baghdad and the provinces around it outrages still recur with numbing regularity. On February 17th a wave of car bombs in Shia parts of Baghdad killed at least 30 people.伊拉克3300万人中,不到五分之一居住在巴格达。如今巴格达俨然成了建筑群与安全隔离区交织的迷宫。上周五,要想从室内的老集市去三公里(2英里)之外的“天堂广场”(Firdos Square),需要绕道走21公里。伊拉克民众忍受着检查站长长的行进人群,只为降低被爆炸和战击中的几率。自2007-2007年的宗派流血以来,暴力事件发生率已急剧下降,伊拉克18各省份中的7个谋杀率比加拿大还低。不过在巴格达及周边省份暴行此起彼伏,令人麻木不仁。2月17日巴格达什叶派聚居区发生新一轮汽车爆炸,造成至少30人死亡The capital has some new buildings and fancy shop fronts. But they are rare, suggesting that private investment remains a timid trickle. Armies of street vendors plying their trade through the traffic jams reflect the fact that less than 40% of Iraqi adults have a job, and that a quarter of families live below the World Bank’s poverty line, statistics little improved since the dark days of crushing UN sanctions in the 1990s. Asked how many students Mustansiriya University has, one of them replies glumly that there are about 12,000, “which means we add 4,000 to the ranks of unemployed every year.”巴格达有些新建筑物和高档商店店面。但是这些还是很稀少,这表明私人投资仍然谨慎量出。街边小贩在拥挤的道路上做起小买卖,这反映出一个事实:伊拉克只有不到40%的人拥有工作,四分之一的家庭生活在世界公布的贫困线以下。自上世纪90年代联合国对伊实施沉重的制裁以来,统计数字并未有明显改善。当问到穆斯坦西里亚大学(Mustansiriya University)有多少学生时,其中一人伤心地说大约12000人,“这也就是说我们每年要向失业大军中输送4000人”。Umm Wafa, who with three daughters shares space among 580 other families in an abandoned military hospital on the city’s tattered outskirts, reckons just 5% of her fellow squatters earn a steady income. The house she was forced to flee in the Dora district, occupied now by hostile Sunni neighbours, stands tauntingly close. She gets no state support, and has yet to win compensation for her property despite seven years of government promises. Some 370,000 other internal refugees crowd Baghdad, half in unserviced squatter settlements.在混乱不堪的市郊,Umm Wafa 和她的三个女儿居住在一座废弃的军事医院,与他们同住的还有另外580户家庭。Umm Wafa估计在此居住的人中,只有5%的有稳定收入。她被迫离开他在多拉地区的房子。该房如今被敌对的逊尼派人霸占,嘲笑般地矗立在旁边。 她没有国家持,没有得到财产补偿,尽管政府已承诺了7年。另有国内还有37万难民涌向巴格达,其中的一半住在无人管理的棚户区。A dozen checkpoints and a 150km of potholed highway to the south the picture looks impressively different. New flyovers lit by solar-powered lamps, multi-storey car parks and flashy hotels ring the centre of Najaf, a focal point of Shia pilgrimage. The city’s biggest attraction, the shrine of Imam Ali, is getting new gilding on its dome. A 0m, 56,000 square metre extension, designed by Iranian architects, will triple its footprint. The chamber of commerce boasts of billion of foreign investment. “I’m optimistic about the future of this city,” says Haidar Salman, a professor at the city’s Islamic University, “but not so much about Iraq.”经过一系列检查站,在凹凸不平的高速公路上向南行驶150公里之后,画面截然相反,给人深刻印象。使用太阳灯能路灯的立交桥,多层停车场和光夺目的酒店环绕着纳贾夫中心--纳贾夫是什叶派的朝圣中心。该市最具吸引力的地方就是伊玛姆阿里的神殿,如今其圆顶也刚被镀上金。而由伊朗设计师设计的扩建项目将是其面积的三倍;该项目造价6亿美元,占地面积达56000平方米。商会声称外资达到70亿美元。该市伊斯兰大学的教授Haidar Salman表示:“我对该市的未来很乐观,不过对伊拉克我就没这么乐观了。”Najaf’s Shia seminaries, historically pre-eminent, were overshadowed during Saddam’s rule by those of the rival Iranian holy city of Qom. Now they have reclaimed their place, says Sheikh Fouad al-Torfi, a mullah imprisoned by both Saddam and the Americans. Najaf’s Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani is accepted by nearly all the world’s 150m Shias as the brightest light of the age. Most Shia religious authorities, Iranians among them, have opened offices here, some attracted by greater freedom compared with Qom.纳贾夫的什叶派神学院在历史上杰出非凡,不过在萨达姆统治时期却在伊朗圣城库姆的竞争下,不禁黯然失色。毛拉(伊斯兰教神学家)Sheikh Fouad al-Torfi说,如今这些学院已重夺其地位。Sheikh Fouad al-Torfi曾被萨达姆和美军曾囚禁过。纳贾夫大阿雅图拉西斯塔尼(Ali al-Sistani)几乎被全球一亿五千万什叶派民众接受为当今最明亮的星光。大多数的什叶派当局,包括伊朗,都在该地设有办公室,其中的因该地比库姆拥有更大的自由而被吸引过来。The Shia Mecca’s revival is fuelled by a dynamic private sector. The same is true of Kurdistan, which is also booming; it even enjoys power 24 hours a day. In the centre, though, creaky bureaucracy, bickering politicians and lingering insecurity stymie Iraq’s progress. The state employs 3.5m people—65% of the workforce—and accounts for 70% of GDP. It relies for its income almost entirely on oil revenues, which now average billion a month. A recent survey by the International Energy Agency suggests exports could double by 2020, though this will not be easy (see box on next page).私营部门的活跃也刺激了什叶派麦加的复苏。同样繁荣的还有库尔德斯坦,那里每天24小时电力供应。尽管在伊拉克中心,腐朽的官僚主义、喋喋不休的政客以及挥之不去的安全隐患都阻碍了该国的发展。国家雇佣了350万人--65%的劳动力--贡献了GDP的70%。国家收入几乎全部依赖石油收入,如今平均月收入达到80亿美元。国际能源署的最新报告显示到2020年,出口将加倍,尽管实现起来并不轻松(见下页图表)In much of the country the private sector is shackled. The World Bank ranks Iraq 165th out of the 185 places rated in its latest index on the ease of doing business; it says that shipping a container in or out of Iraq takes four times as long, and costs three times as much, as it tends to elsewhere in the region. Worse, the bank reports no legislative attempts in the past five years to make access to credit easier or speed the procedures to start a business. Iraq’s lawmakers have been too busy fighting political battles and dividing spoils among parties to attend to such practicalities. The electricity in Baghdad seldom stays on more than a few hours at a time, though new plants are being built.伊拉克大部分地区,私营部门备受束缚。在世界评估的185个国家经商容易度指数中,伊拉克排在第165位。世行表示向伊拉克进出集装箱所花费的时间是向该地区其他国家进出的4倍,花费也是其他国家的三倍。更糟糕的是,世行表示在过去的五年伊拉克并没有进行立法以使信贷更便捷或加快开办生意流程。伊拉克立法员一直忙于政治相斗和分割党派战利品,根本无暇顾及这些事务。巴格达电力供应很难一次维持数小时,尽管新工厂还在不断新建。Najaf and the south are doing so much better than Baghdad largely because the Shia majority there feels satisfied with the post-war settlement. From 1546, when the port city of Basra was captured by the Ottoman empire, to the invasion of 2003, Sunni-led states held sway over the Tigris and Euphrates valleys, although the most thickly populated part of the country, south of Baghdad, is largely Shia (see map). The Shia sense of disenfranchisement peaked under Saddam and his mostly Sunni henchmen, whose notion of nation-building included genocide against Kurds and mass execution for members of Shia religious parties they thought allied to Iran. The regime’s previously indiscriminate brutality took a sectarian turn after a failed Shia uprising in 1991.纳贾夫及南部地区比巴格达表现得如此之好很大程度上是因为两地的主要派什叶派对战后稳定秩序满意。从1546年港口城市巴士拉被奥斯曼帝国占领到2003年美军入侵,逊尼派领导的政府一直统治着底格里斯河和幼发拉底河流域,尽管伊拉克大部分人口稠密的地区,如巴格达南部,逊尼派是主体。什叶派对公民权被剥夺的意识在萨达姆及其主要是逊尼派追随者的统治下达到最高峰,萨达姆建国的计划就包括对库尔德人实行种族灭绝,对他们声称与伊朗有联系的什叶派团体成员实行大规模杀戮。1991年什叶派起义失败后,萨达姆政权先前不分青红皂白的残暴蛮横开始转向宗派上来。Understandably, Shias are tempted to regard their current dominance of Iraqi politics with righteous triumphalism. Since the first democratic elections in 2005, Shia-led parties, many of them with clerical or Islamist roots, have had a majority in Iraq’s parliament, as well as the prime minister’s office. They control local government in nine southern provinces. Ordinary Shias share the Najafi businessman’s contempt for Baghdad’s political logjam. Sunni claims of having become Iraq’s new, marginalised underclass fall on deaf ears.这也就很容易理解,如今什叶派试图捍卫在伊拉克政治的优势地位,坚信正义必胜。2005年伊拉克举行首次民主选举以来,什叶派领导的政党--其中的许多有着教士或伊斯兰根源,如今在伊拉克议会,以及总理办公室都占多数。在南部九个省份,他们也控制着当地政府。普通什叶派民众也和纳贾夫的商人一样,对巴格达政治僵局嗤之以鼻。逊尼派声称已成为伊拉克新一批被边缘化的下层民众,却并未被理睬。After the tables turned局势转变之后,Since mid-December mass protests in the style of the Arab spring have kicked off in Sunni-majority provinces to the north and west of Baghdad. The trigger was the arrest of more than 100 men in the entourage of Rafi Issawi, Mr Maliki’s Sunni minister of finance. A similar move by police units controlled by the prime minister forced Tariq al-Hashemi, a Sunni deputy prime minister, into exile in 2011. In Mr Issawi’s case all but nine bodyguards were soon released, but the arrests still raised simmering Sunni anger to its boiling point.自12月中期以来,在巴格达北部、西部以逊尼派为主体的省份爆发了类似阿拉伯之春的大规模游行示威。导火索就是100多名·埃萨维(Rafi Issawi)的工作人员遭到逮捕。·埃萨维是马利基政府内的逊尼派财政部长。而此前,由总理控制的警察局也有过类似的行动:2011年迫使逊尼派副总统塔里克·哈希米(Tariq al-Hashemi)流往国外。在埃萨维事件中,九名保镖将很快获释,但是其余工作人员依然被关押,这无疑还是会将逊尼派激怒到爆发点。That should have come as no surprise. Diplomats reckon that Iraq’s myriad security services in recent months have held something like 10,000 people, disproportionately Sunnis, in custody on terrorism-related charges. This is similar to the number once held by American forces. The Baghdad government has suspended salaries the Americans paid to Sunni militiamen. The residents of some Sunni parts of Baghdad are subjected to humiliating searches when leaving their neighbourhoods; on Fridays, days of prayer and protest, they are not let out at all.这也在意料之中。外交官员估计伊拉克庞大的安全机构在最近数月拘捕了约10000人,其中的逊尼派比例严重失衡,他们都因与恐怖组织相关连而被收押。这与美军曾关押的数字大抵相当。伊拉克政府也冻结了美军付给逊尼派军事人员的薪水。巴格达部分逊尼派聚居区的民众离开家后便遭到羞辱性的搜查;在周五的祷告日和游行示威期间,他们更是不能出门。Mr Maliki has responded to Sunni protests with concessions, promises and veiled threats. A committee he formed to hear their demands says it has released more than 2,000 prisoners, and resumed or increased salaries for 74,000 militiamen. Despite one incident in January when police opened fire on a mob in Falluja, an ever-restive Sunni city, killing five, security forces have for the most part avoided confronting protesters.马利基在回应逊尼派的抗议时,做出了让步、承诺以及隐含的威胁。马利基组建了一个专门的委员会,倾听示威者的要求。该委员会表示已释放2000多名嫌犯,重新发放并提高了74000名军事人员的薪水。尽管一月份在费卢杰(Falluja)--顽固无比的逊尼派城市,警方朝示威人群开火,造成五人死亡,但是安全部队在大多数情况下一直避免正面对抗示威者。Shia politicians warn that their own constituents are increasingly alarmed by the sight of Baathist slogans and jihadist banners in the Sunni protests. They are terrified that the increasingly sectarian civil war in Syria could create a hostile, Sunni-led post-Assad neighbour. Some speak of the need to rearm and prepare for another round of sectarian conflict.什叶派政客警告称,其本派民众也越来越担心逊尼派示威游行中出现的复兴社会党(Baathist)的口号及圣战组织标语。他们担心叙利亚不断升级的宗派内战会促使产生一个充满敌意的、逊尼派领导的持阿萨德的团体。一些人则指出需要重新武装,为新一轮的宗派争斗做准备。Mr Maliki, who first came to power as a compromise prime minister in 2005 and then patched together a flimsy government in 2010, bears much of the blame for provoking these tensions. The move against Mr Issawi baffled Iraqi and foreign observers, who see Mr Maliki’s grudging response to the subsequent anger as foolishly inadequate. The grievances of the Sunnis who feel ignored go beyond salaries and harsh policing to a more general anger over rampant corruption and resentment of Mr Maliki’s dictatorial tendencies.2005年各方妥协之下马利基首次就任伊拉克总理,随后于2010年拼凑脆弱的新一届政府。如今对局势的不断激化紧张,马利基承担大部分责任。这起针对埃萨维行动使得伊拉克国内及国外的观察者难以理解。他们认为马利基对随之而发生的怨恨回应过于吝啬,愚蠢可笑。逊尼派民众感到备受忽视,他们已由原先对薪水及暴力执法的愤怒,演变为对贪污成风的普遍恼怒,对马利基政府越来越独裁的怨恨。Yet most observers seem to think Iraq can avoid returning to mayhem. Few in Iraq’s political class relish the idea of renewed conflict, says a London-based analyst. He cites as positive signs that Sunni protests have remained peaceful so far, and that calls for the removal of Mr Maliki or scrapping the 2005 constitution, the drafting of which most Sunni politicians boycotted to their later regret, have failed to gain traction. Some Shia politicians, including Muqtada al-Sadr, a young cleric with a strong following who was long branded a dangerous firebrand, have even voiced sympathy with Sunni demands.不过大部分观察家倾向于伊拉克可以避免重返混乱无序的状态。伦敦的一位分析家表示,在伊拉克政治阶层,几乎没有人考虑重挑争端。逊尼派的游行示威迄今和平有序;要求罢免马利基或废除2005年宪法(绝大多数的逊尼派后来后悔抵制该法的起草)的呼声也没能得到响应。他表示这些都是积极的信号。Muqtada al-Sadr是位年轻的牧师,拥有很强的号召力,长期以来一直被视为是危险的煽动叛乱的人。如今他和其他一些什叶派政治家呼吁关心同情逊尼派的诉求。If there is no dire reason to fear things getting worse, though, there is not much hope for improvement either. Iraq’s politics are a mess of micro-parties in ever-shifting alliances. In the 2010 elections a centrist, secular-leaning bloc, Iraqiya, actually won more seats than Mr Maliki’s party, but fell to bickering amid the peculiar reluctance of its leader, Iyad Allawi, to visit parliament. The political class’s rejection of seemingly sensible reforms and proclivity for intrigue and factionalism have strengthened Mr Maliki as much as his determination to divide and rule.如果没有极端的理由担心局势会变得更差,可是,也没有多少希望局势复苏的希望。伊拉克的政治就是些混乱不堪的小党派,党派同盟变化无常。2010年选举时,中间派的、世俗倾向的的政党联盟“伊拉克名单”(Iraqiya)实际上比马利基的政党多两票,但奇怪的是,其领导人阿拉维不情愿访问议会,联盟陷入争吵。政治阶层拒绝看起来合理的改革,不再理会尔虞我诈和党派纷争,巩固了马利基的地位,以及其分而治之的决心。Trouble with the neighbours与邻之争Mr Maliki’s efforts to control military appointments, his use of state perks to woo defections from opposition blocs, his abuse of police power and his increasingly brazen appeals to Shia sentiment are all lamentable. Yet these may also be seen as natural responses to the pressures on him. “I’m not sure that anyone else would act much different, and it’s not as if the opposition are offering any alternative,” says a diplomat in Baghdad.马利基竭力谋求掌控军队任命权,利用国家特权拉拢反对派头程叛变,滥用警力,变得愈发厚颜无耻得迎合什叶派感情。这的确可悲可叹。不过,这也可以看做是马利基深处压力之中的本能反应罢了。巴格达一名外交官员表示:”我不确定其他人会不会有所不同,反对派似乎也不能提供可选方案。”Western diplomats are often irked by the blind eye Mr Maliki turns to Iranian influence in the country—but they also understand that it is inevitable. The Islamic Republic sponsors several armed and virulently sectarian Shia factions. It also, to the annoyance of Western countries and Sunnis, flies regular cargoes over Iraqi airspace to bolster the flailing Assad regime in Syria. But this does not mean that Iraq is fully under Iranian sway. Very few of Iraq’s Shia leaders subscribe to Iran’s state ideology of velayat-e faqih, the guardianship of the jurist. And in increasing its oil exports[做状语,其中的its是指伊拉克] Iraq is clearly pursuing its own interests, not its neighbour’s. The extent to which Iraqi exports have steadied oil prices vexes the cash-strapped and sanctions-crippled regime next door.马利基对伊朗在伊拉克的影响熟视无睹,这使得西方外交官愤怒不已,不过他们也知道这无可避免。因为伊朗这个伊斯兰共和国持了不少武装及危险的什叶派宗教团体。使西方国家及逊尼派愤怒的是,伊朗还定期飞越伊拉克上空,向垂死挣扎的叙利亚阿萨德政权提供货物。不过这并不是说伊拉克完全受伊朗影响。几乎没有伊拉克什叶派领导人赞同伊朗的法基赫的监护(velayat-e faqih)国家理念。伊拉克不断提高石油出口量,很明显其要保护本国的利益,而非邻国伊朗的。伊拉克出口在多大程度上稳定了油价,这使得缺乏现金、饱受制裁之困的隔壁烦恼不已。“We share Iran’s concerns about Syria, but not its strategic interests,” explains Naama Obaidi, a cleric who runs a Najaf think-tank. “And we respect that Iran, which fought a long war with us, and faces big threats, should exert lots of its intelligence effort here.” But while Iraq is willing to accommodate Iran, he says, it will not embrace it fully—unless pushed by fear of its Sunni neighbours.在纳贾夫运营着一家智库的牧师Naama Obaidi说:”我们赞同伊朗对叙利亚的关切,而非赞同其战略利益。”“伊朗曾与我们交战多年,如今也面临巨大威胁。我们认为伊朗应将其才能发挥在这些地方。”他还表示:“尽管伊拉克愿意接受伊朗,但并不会完全敞开怀抱,除非担心被其逊尼派近邻所逼。”One of those is Turkey, which has often appeared to consider Iraq’s Shia-dominated government as a catspaw for Iran and acted accordingly. Turkey’s prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has repeatedly clashed with Mr Maliki. Iraqi officials contend that their neighbour to the north, which runs a thriving billion trade with Iraq, has promoted both Kurdish and Sunni obstinacy in dealing with Baghdad. A Western official says that it would be hard to exaggerate Turkey’s recklessness.其中的一个近邻就是土耳其。土耳其常视伊拉克什叶派政府为伊朗的爪牙,并采取相应行动。土耳其总理雷杰普·塔伊普·埃尔多安(Recep Tayyip Erdogan)常常与马利基总理恶语相向。伊拉克官员很高兴看到,其北方近邻土耳其在库尔德人和逊尼派顽固者与巴格达交往中推动作用。土耳其与伊拉克的贸易也蒸蒸日上,达到了170亿美元。一位西方官员表示很难夸大土耳其的轻率鲁莽。Mr Maliki will probably serve out the rest of his current term, which ends in April 2014. That is not good news for Iraq, but not entirely bad, either. Just keeping a lid on things, as oil revenues grow and begin to percolate downwards, may be a realistic ambition for a country divided internally and surrounded by strife. Muwafaq al-Rubaie, a former national security adviser of courtly demeanour who displays the noose that hanged Saddam in his heavily guarded villa beside the Tigris, insists that Iraq’s trajectory is generally upwards, not steeply so but recognisably. “Compromise in Arabic is a bad word,” he says, “but reaching it at the eleventh hour is one thing we have learned.”马利基可能会继续其剩余任期,直到2014年4月。对伊拉克来说,这不是个消息,不过也不是个很坏的消息。随着石油收入增加,并开始流入民间,仅仅控制某些事情,对国内四分五裂、争吵不断的伊拉克来说也许也是一个现实的目标。举止典雅的前国家安全顾问Muwafaq al-Rubaie在底格里斯河旁戒备深严的别墅里展示了绞死萨达姆的绳套,他坚信伊拉克的轨道前进上升的,而非大起大落,很容易辨认。他还说:”妥协在阿拉伯是个糟糕的词汇,但是在最后一刻妥协是我们必须学会的东西。 /201303/232640宾县中医医院周日上班吗平房区盆腔炎哪家医院最好的

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