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青岛假体隆胸需要多少钱青岛市城阳人民医院激光脱毛青岛诺德精雕隆鼻垫下巴丰胸垫高鼻子多少钱 Wisconsin’s electorate deserves a vote of thanks. It is too early to declare that the Republican tide has turned or that Donald Trump’s weaknesses are finally being exposed. They should always have been obvious. But Mr Trump’s defeat to Ted Cruz offers a glimmer of hope that the electorate may finally be awakening to his flaws. 威斯康星州的选民值得感谢。现在就宣告共和党的潮流已经转向——或者说唐纳#8226;特朗Donald Trump)的弱点终于暴露——还为时过早。他的弱点应该一直都是显而易见的。但特朗普败在特#8226;克鲁Ted Cruz)手中让人心生一线希望:选民对他的种种缺点可能终于醒悟过来It would take an improbable series of results in the coming weeks for Mr Cruz to overturn Mr Trump’s delegate lead. Even then, a Cruz nomination would offer Republicans no greater hope of regaining the White House. But Mr Trump is a preposterous candidate. The longer this fissiparous Republican primary goes on, the more voters see what a President Trump would stand for. It is not a pretty sight. 要推翻特朗普在党代表票数上的领先优势,克鲁兹将需要在未来几周获得一连串不太可能的大胜。即使这能做到,提名克鲁兹也不会让共和党有更大胜算夺回白宫。但特朗普是一个荒谬的候选人。共和党这场四分五裂的初选拖得越久,选民们就越能看清“特朗普总统”将代表着什么。那不是一幅众人乐见的画面As ever, Mr Trump is happily supplying the evidence himself. In the past fortnight his stream of gaffes has become a torrent. By unfavourably contrasting the looks of his wife, Melania Trump, to those of Heidi Cruz, his opponent’s spouse, Mr Trump provoked women to turn out against him in even greater numbers. It also gave Mr Cruz, no Mr Nice Guy, the chance to humanise his message. 与以往一样,特朗普本人乐于提供据。过去两周里,他一次接一次的失言已经从小溪变成洪流。他把自己的妻子梅拉尼亚#8226;特朗Melania Trump)的相貌与对手的配偶海#8226;克鲁Heidi Cruz)进行对比,促使更多女性站到他的对立面。这也使本来并非“好好先生”的克鲁兹有机会让自己具有人情味Likewise, Mr Trump’s assertion promptly withdrawn that women who undergo abortions should be punished sparked outrage even from the most militant opponents of abortion. It added to the impression that Mr Trump is making things up as he goes along. The same applies to his advice that Japan and South Korea should develop their own nuclear deterrents a comment that elicited unusual rebukes from Tokyo and Seoul. Then he threatened that a Trump-led US would walk away from Nato. And so on. 同样,特朗普有关堕胎的女性应该受到惩罚的断言(即便很快被收回)激起民愤,就连最激进的反对堕胎者也表示愤慨。这件事强化了这样一种印象,即特朗普一直在即兴胡扯。他发表的有关日本和韩国应该自行发展核威慑的建议同样是奇葩——他的“高见”招致东京和首尔不同寻常地作出驳斥。接着特朗普又威胁称,由他主政的美国将舍弃北约(Nato)。诸如此类It is quite possible that Mr Trump will shake off these doubts and go on to win the more important primary that will take place in New York state later this month. A large chunk of the Republican electorate is impervious to Mr Trump’s general election weaknesses. By voting for him, they intend to send a stark message to the Republican establishment. 当然,特朗普很有可能将摆脱这些疑虑,在本月晚些时候赢得更重要的纽约州初选。很大一部分共和党选民对特朗普在大选中的弱点无动于衷。他们投票给他是要向共和党体制内阶层传递一个刺耳的信息It is also still likely that Mr Trump will head into the Republican convention in July with the largest share of delegates behind him. But the result in Wisconsin exposed two of Mr Trump’s biggest vulnerabilities. First, Mr Cruz’s campaign is light years ahead of Mr Trump in terms of organisation. This could make a big difference as the contest turns increasingly to a ground game where the ability to garner more delegates will be decisive. The race is turning into a logistical war of attrition that will accentuate Mr Cruz’s strengths. 同样很有可能的是,在7月共和党举行全国代表大会时,特朗普将拥有最大比例的党代表票持。但是威斯康星州的初选结果暴露了特朗普的两大脆弱性。首先,克鲁兹的竞选团队在组织方面遥遥领先于特朗普。随着这场竞赛日益变成一场短兵相接的角力(其间争取更多党代表票的能力将起到决定性作用),这一点可能带来很大的不同。目前两人之间的竞赛正在演变成一场比拼后勤实力的消耗战,这有利于克鲁兹发挥自己的强项Second, the US media have scented blood. Stung by criticism they have provided Mr Trump with too much free airtime about bn worth according to one estimate the television networks are keen to make amends. Mr Trump’s celebrity appeal still attracts lots of eyeballs. But TV executives are discovering that his downfall could also make for compelling viewing. Megyn Kelly, the Fox News anchor whom Mr Trump has repeatedly denigrated, has seen her ratings soar. Having lived by the sword, Mr Trump may also die by it. 其次,美国媒体闻到了血腥味。批评人士曾称,媒体给了特朗普太多免费上镜时间(有一个估计是这些时间价值约20亿美元)。受此刺痛,各大电视网络都热衷于作出弥补。特朗普的名人魅力仍然吸引大量眼球。但电视高管们现在发现,他的下坡路也可能提振收视率。特朗普一再诋毁的福克斯新Fox News)主播梅根#8226;凯利(Megyn Kelly)现在收视率飙升。在依靠刀剑声名鹊起之后,特朗普也可能“死”于刀剑之下That, at least, is the hope among Mr Trump’s opponents. The reality is still likely to be messy. In all probability, Republicans will be unable to avoid a contested convention in July. 至少,这是特朗普的对手的期待。现实仍然很可能是乱七八糟的。最有可能的情况是,共和党将无法避免7月份的“僵局代表大会contested convention)When Mr Trump burst on to the scene almost a year ago, conventional wisdom dismissed his early poll numbers as a passing fad. It went on far longer than anyone expected. A majority of Republicans continue to oppose Mr Trump’s nomination. It is not too late for others to follow suit. 特朗普在近一年前登上舞台时,传统智慧曾对他早期的民调数字不以为意,称其为昙花一现。这朵“昙花”的耐久性远远超出任何人的预期。多数共和党人继续反对特朗普获得提名。其他人现在效仿还不算太迟。来 /201604/436308青岛半永久性韩式眉毛

淄博市妇幼保健院口腔科In past decades, when faced with plebiscites on whether to embrace further European integration, voters across the Continent had a habit of slamming on the brakes though in several instances they later changed their minds.过去几十年中,当就是否加强欧洲联合举行公投时,这块大陆上各地的投票者总是习惯于临时刹车——尽管好几次,他们后来改变了主意。Britain joined the European Economic Community, a forerunner of the European Union, in 1973, during the Conservative government of Prime Minister Edward Heath.1975年,英国曾对欧盟说“Yes”。英国在1973年加入欧盟的前身欧洲经济共同体,当时执政的是保守党政府。第二年上台的工党建议就是否继续留下举行公众投票。The yes camp won a resounding victory 67 percent with the backing of Prime Minister Harold Wilson.在首相哈罗德·威尔逊的持下,说活动赢得大胜7%投票者表示持。June 2, 1992: Danes Reject Maastricht Treaty, at First1992日,丹麦人最开始拒绝了《马斯特里赫特条约》。Sept. 20, 1992: France Approves Maastricht Treaty, Barely19920日,法国以微弱的优势通过了《马斯特里赫特条约》。June 8, 2001: Irish Oppose E.U. Expansion, Initially2001日,爱尔兰人最开始反对欧洲的扩张计划。Sept. 14, 2003: Sweden Refuses the Euro20034日,瑞典拒绝加入欧元区。May 29, 2005: France Vetoes European Constitution20059日,法国否决了《欧洲宪法条约》。June 1, 2005: Dutch Voters Also Reject the Constitution2005日,荷兰也对《欧洲宪法条约》进行否决。June 12, 2008: Another Irish No Vote, Followed by a Flip-Flop20082日,爱尔兰人投出反对票,之后撤回。来 /201606/450596青岛射频去眼袋 When you can download software from the US or your favourite song from Australia, it is not surprising that both the tech-savvy and those wanting Britain to leave the EU assert that geographical proximity has never mattered less. This is a favourite phrase of Daniel Hannan, a Brexit-supporting Conservative member of the European Parliament. It also happens to be a myth.当你能够从美国下载软件或从澳大利亚下载你最喜欢的歌曲时,不奇怪的是,精通科技者和那些希望英国离开欧盟(EU)的人都断言,地域上的邻近从未像现在这样不重要。这是持英国脱欧的欧洲议会(European Parliament)成员、英国保守党人丹尼尔#8226;汉南(Daniel Hannan)最喜欢说的一句话。但它恰恰是错误的。Take two countries, one with historic ties to Britain and which shares the same language, the other is merely in the middle of the European continent. New Zealand and the Czech Republic were both 0bn economies in 2014, measured at prevailing exchange rates, and Britain trades significantly more with one than the other. Imports and exports of goods and services in 2014 were 3.9 times higher with our European not-so-near neighbour than with our distant former colony.以两个国家为例,一个与英国有着历史渊源,使用同一种语言,另一个只不过地理位置居于欧洲大陆中部。根据当前汇率计算,新西兰和捷克2014年的经济规模都是2000亿美元,英国与其中一国的贸易明显多于它与另一国的贸易014年,英国与相距并不算太近的捷克之间的商品和务进出口规模,是它与相距遥远的前殖民地澳大利亚的3.9倍。This is not cherry-picking countries. Britain might not play a lot of cricket with Spain but it trades 3.3 times more with its former enemy than it does with Australia. Both Spain and Australia are .4tn economies, but British people are more willing to travel short haul for sunshine and sangria than for the lifestyle of Neighbours, the long-running Australian television soap opera.这并非孤。英国或许不怎么跟西班牙在一起打板球,但英国与这个历史上的死敌的贸易额是英国与澳大利亚贸易额.3倍。西班牙和澳大利亚的经济规模都是1.4万亿美元,但英国人更愿意去邻近的西班牙享受阳光和桑格里亚酒,而不是千里迢迢去澳大利亚感受《家有芳邻Neighbours)中的生活——《家有芳邻》是澳大利亚一部播了许多年的电视剧。Geography still matters in trade, but distance is not the only determinant. Size of market is also important. As China’s weight in the world economy has grown rapidly, so naturally has the amount of trade with Beijing.在贸易领域,地理位置仍然重要,但距离并非唯一的决定因素——市场规模也很重要。随着中国占全球经济规模的比重迅速增长,英国与中国的贸易规模自然而然也扩大了。China is a growing share of Britain’s trade, for sure, but let’swe should not exaggerate its importance. Compared with the Chinese gross domestic product was .4tn in 2014 but trade with Britain’s trade accounted for 0.9 per cent of itthe Chinese economy, much smaller than the EU’s trade with Britainthe UK, which accounted for 5.5 per cent of the EU economy in 2014.中国在英国对外贸易中所占比重肯定正日益上升,但我们不应夸大中国的重要性。中014年的国内生产总GDP)0.4万亿美元,中英贸易仅占中国经济规模的0.9%,远远低于欧盟与英国贸易规模占前者经济规模的比例,这一比例014年为5.5%。Not only is Britain’s trade with the EU much larger relative to the size of the market, geography also appears to be becoming more, not less, important. Ten years earlier, in 2004, Beijing’s trade with the UK accounted for 1.4 per cent of China’s economy, a larger slice, but the trade intensity with the EU has remained essentially the same.不仅是英国与欧盟的贸易以市场规模衡量比它与中国的贸易密切得多,地理位置的重要性似乎也在上升,或者也可以理解为在下降004年,中国与英国的贸易占中国经济规模的1.4%,比例高于今日,但与欧盟的贸易强度则一直保持基本不变。So-called gravity models, which are economic analyses that try to explain trade patterns by geography and size of markets, find that Britain trades more than might be expected with Europe largely because that market is much more integrated than a free-trade zone.所谓的贸易引力模型(gravity model)发现,英国与欧洲的贸易密切程度可能超过了模型的预计,这在很大程度上是因为这个市场的一体化程度远远超过自由贸易区。贸易引力模型是一种经济分析,试图通过地理位置因素和市场规模解释贸易模式。Although the economic theory of trade started with David Ricardo’s stories about exchanging Portuguese wine for British cloth, most modern trade occurs among similar goods and services in similar markets. It and brings benefits from increased forces of competition, raising productivity through improved processes and management and eliminating theinefficient producers.尽管经济学中关于贸易的理论始于大#12539;李嘉David Ricardo)用葡萄牙红酒交换英国布料的故事,但多数现代贸易表现为相似市场之间交换相似的商品和务。这种交换是有好处的,因为它加大了市场竞争,而竞争能够促使生产者改进流程和管理、淘汰生产效率低下的产品,从而提高生产率。Reducing tariffs and removing as boost trade and bring gains but deeper integration, harmonisation of regulation, recognition of other countries standards, prohibition of artificial state aid and eliminating non-tariff barriers are more powerful. For Britain, the only big and close market in which it can achieve these benefits is the European single market. All other large markets are too far away.降低关税和取消配额会扩大贸易并带来好处,但加深一体化、统一监管制度、承认别国标准、禁止人为政府援助和消除非关税壁垒是更有力的办法。英国唯一能够享受到这些好处的大型封闭市场就是欧洲单一市场。所有其他大型市场都距离太远。Countries and companies often find deep integration uncomfortable because the weak go to the wall complaining bitterly. But that is as it should be. Complete in goods, the single market still needs to develop further in services.国家和企业通常往往不愿意推进深层次的一体化,因为弱者会大声抱怨。但就应该这样做。欧洲单一市场在商品自由流动方面已经发展完备,但仍需继续破除阻碍务自由流动的障碍。Britain would therefore be deluded to leave the single market even if it were to vote to leave the EU. That, of course, would mean the country would have to pay an entry fee, accept free movement of people, regulation set in Brussels and pooled sovereignty. In which case, it is legitimate to ask, what is the point of Brexit?因此,即便英国投票离开欧盟,英国离开单一市场将是愚蠢的。当然,留在单一市场则意味着,英国将不得不付市场准入费,接受人员的自由流动、由布鲁塞尔制定的监管规定以及主权共享。那样的话,我们有理由问:英国脱欧还有何意义?来 /201603/429146青岛女子脱毛

青岛市美容整形院 Mexicos authorities have recaptured drug lord Joaquin ;El Chapo; Guzman, six months after he escaped from a maximum-security jail. In a post on Twitter, Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto said: ;Mission accomplished: We got him.;墨西哥主要贩毒集团“锡那罗亚”最高头目、全球最臭名昭著的大毒枭古斯曼,越狱潜逃半年后再次被逮捕。墨西哥总统涅托8日在推特上发文宣布消息称:“任务完成了:我们找到了他。”Guzman, one of the worlds most-wanted drug lords, smuggled cocaine, heroin and methamphetamines to the US through the Sinaloa cartel he led.古斯曼,是世界上规模最大、最暴力的贩毒集团“锡那罗亚”最高头目,其贩毒网络遍及全球,将可卡因、海洛因和甲基苯丙胺等毒品走私到美国。He escaped from jail through a 1.5km (1 mile) tunnel dug in the showers. President Pena Nieto described Guzmans arrest as a ;victory against impunity; and said it showed Mexicans could have confidence in the states ability to guarantee law and order. ;There is no group that it is impossible to confront,; he said.古斯曼是通过牢房浴室地下一个将英里长的地道逃跑的。墨西哥总统涅托称:“古斯曼的抓获明了我们对抗越狱的胜利,表明了墨西哥有信心维护社会法制。任何一个犯罪团伙都不可能逃掉。”Guzman was apprehended following a shoot-out with Mexican marines in Los Mochis, a coastal city in his home state of Sinaloa, in north-west Mexico, the president said.墨西哥总统表示,古斯曼在墨西哥西北部锡那罗亚州的一个沿海城市洛斯莫奇斯被逮捕。The capture of El Chapo will be a big boost to President Enrique Pena Nietos administration.古斯曼的逮捕大大提升了墨西哥总统涅托的执政信心。The escape last July of Mexicos most-wanted criminal was politically embarrassing. It made the government look stupid at best and institutionally corrupt at worst - many people doubted El Chapos escape could have happened without inside help. It was made worse too by the fact that the president had previously said that if he escaped again it would be unforgivable.去年7月,墨西哥最大通缉犯逃跑让墨西哥政府荣誉扫地。很多人质疑政府愚蠢腐败,古斯曼的逃跑是在内部人的帮助下成功的。之前总统曾誓言,如果古斯曼再逃跑,这将不可饶恕。来 /201601/421231青岛即墨市最好的抽脂减肥医院青岛401医院整形美容

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